Microsoft's fiscal 2026 results, reported July 29, showed revenue rising 18% to $331.8 billion and net income up 31% to $133.7 billion, fueled by Azure growth exceeding 40% and Microsoft Cloud revenue reaching $59.3 billion in Q4. This drove a sharp August rally, with shares climbing over 30% from post-earnings lows near $390 to close at $513.53 on August 28 before pulling back 1.22% to around $507 on August 31 amid broader tech rotation and elevated capex guidance of roughly $175 billion for calendar 2026. Traders are weighing sustained AI demand and backlog growth (commercial RPO at $678 billion) against margin pressures from infrastructure spending and a forward P/E near 26x, with analyst targets averaging $569–600. The September 1 close hinges on intraday momentum and sector sentiment following the recent high-volume decline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
$490
89%
$500
56%
$510
43%
$520
14%
$530
16%
$373 Объем
$490
$96 Объем
89%
$500
$95 Объем
56%
$510
$48 Объем
43%
$520
$123 Объем
14%
$530
$12 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 1, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's fiscal 2026 results, reported July 29, showed revenue rising 18% to $331.8 billion and net income up 31% to $133.7 billion, fueled by Azure growth exceeding 40% and Microsoft Cloud revenue reaching $59.3 billion in Q4. This drove a sharp August rally, with shares climbing over 30% from post-earnings lows near $390 to close at $513.53 on August 28 before pulling back 1.22% to around $507 on August 31 amid broader tech rotation and elevated capex guidance of roughly $175 billion for calendar 2026. Traders are weighing sustained AI demand and backlog growth (commercial RPO at $678 billion) against margin pressures from infrastructure spending and a forward P/E near 26x, with analyst targets averaging $569–600. The September 1 close hinges on intraday momentum and sector sentiment following the recent high-volume decline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 1, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Объем
$373Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 1, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's fiscal 2026 results, reported July 29, showed revenue rising 18% to $331.8 billion and net income up 31% to $133.7 billion, fueled by Azure growth exceeding 40% and Microsoft Cloud revenue reaching $59.3 billion in Q4. This drove a sharp August rally, with shares climbing over 30% from post-earnings lows near $390 to close at $513.53 on August 28 before pulling back 1.22% to around $507 on August 31 amid broader tech rotation and elevated capex guidance of roughly $175 billion for calendar 2026. Traders are weighing sustained AI demand and backlog growth (commercial RPO at $678 billion) against margin pressures from infrastructure spending and a forward P/E near 26x, with analyst targets averaging $569–600. The September 1 close hinges on intraday momentum and sector sentiment following the recent high-volume decline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 1, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Объем
$373Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's fiscal 2026 results, reported July 29, showed revenue rising 18% to $331.8 billion and net income up 31% to $133.7 billion, fueled by Azure growth exceeding 40% and Microsoft Cloud revenue reaching $59.3 billion in Q4. This drove a sharp August rally, with shares climbing over 30% from post-earnings lows near $390 to close at $513.53 on August 28 before pulling back 1.22% to around $507 on August 31 amid broader tech rotation and elevated capex guidance of roughly $175 billion for calendar 2026. Traders are weighing sustained AI demand and backlog growth (commercial RPO at $678 billion) against margin pressures from infrastructure spending and a forward P/E near 26x, with analyst targets averaging $569–600. The September 1 close hinges on intraday momentum and sector sentiment following the recent high-volume decline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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