Microsoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, following strong fiscal 2026 results with $90 billion in quarterly revenue and Azure growth accelerating to 42-43% year-over-year, alongside guidance for 44-45% constant-currency expansion in the current quarter. Elevated capital expenditures exceeding $50 billion annually for AI infrastructure, combined with a shift to two new reporting segments focused on Agents and Infra versus Devices and Consumer, introduce near-term volatility around valuation multiples and margin trends. Analyst targets cluster near $560-570 amid robust backlog growth, yet the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $470-$540 ranges reflects trader uncertainty over sustained AI momentum versus capex pressures and broader market sentiment in the week ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$530–$540 49%
$520-$530 48%
>$540 43%
$460–$470 42%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
<450 долл.
35%
$450–$460
25%
$460–$470
42%
$470–$480
6%
$480-$490
15%
$490-$500
29%
$500–$510
27%
$510-$520
14%
$520-$530
48%
$530–$540
49%
>$540
43%
$530–$540 49%
$520-$530 48%
>$540 43%
$460–$470 42%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
<450 долл.
$0 Объем
35%
$450–$460
$0 Объем
25%
$460–$470
$0 Объем
42%
$470–$480
$0 Объем
6%
$480-$490
$0 Объем
15%
$490-$500
$0 Объем
29%
$500–$510
$0 Объем
27%
$510-$520
$0 Объем
14%
$520-$530
$0 Объем
48%
$530–$540
$0 Объем
49%
>$540
$0 Объем
43%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, following strong fiscal 2026 results with $90 billion in quarterly revenue and Azure growth accelerating to 42-43% year-over-year, alongside guidance for 44-45% constant-currency expansion in the current quarter. Elevated capital expenditures exceeding $50 billion annually for AI infrastructure, combined with a shift to two new reporting segments focused on Agents and Infra versus Devices and Consumer, introduce near-term volatility around valuation multiples and margin trends. Analyst targets cluster near $560-570 amid robust backlog growth, yet the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $470-$540 ranges reflects trader uncertainty over sustained AI momentum versus capex pressures and broader market sentiment in the week ahead.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, following strong fiscal 2026 results with $90 billion in quarterly revenue and Azure growth accelerating to 42-43% year-over-year, alongside guidance for 44-45% constant-currency expansion in the current quarter. Elevated capital expenditures exceeding $50 billion annually for AI infrastructure, combined with a shift to two new reporting segments focused on Agents and Infra versus Devices and Consumer, introduce near-term volatility around valuation multiples and margin trends. Analyst targets cluster near $560-570 amid robust backlog growth, yet the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $470-$540 ranges reflects trader uncertainty over sustained AI momentum versus capex pressures and broader market sentiment in the week ahead.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, following strong fiscal 2026 results with $90 billion in quarterly revenue and Azure growth accelerating to 42-43% year-over-year, alongside guidance for 44-45% constant-currency expansion in the current quarter. Elevated capital expenditures exceeding $50 billion annually for AI infrastructure, combined with a shift to two new reporting segments focused on Agents and Infra versus Devices and Consumer, introduce near-term volatility around valuation multiples and margin trends. Analyst targets cluster near $560-570 amid robust backlog growth, yet the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $470-$540 ranges reflects trader uncertainty over sustained AI momentum versus capex pressures and broader market sentiment in the week ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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