Traders assign a 98% probability against a meeting between Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Iranian President Pezeshkian by September 30, driven by the absence of formal diplomatic ties, ongoing regional hostilities, and recent military exchanges that have heightened mutual distrust. With only days remaining until the deadline, no scheduled bilateral contacts or mediation efforts appear on the immediate horizon. Historical precedent shows direct leader-level engagement between the two countries remains rare and typically requires extensive preconditions. A last-minute breakthrough via third-party channels or unexpected de-escalation signals could still shift the outcome, though current conditions make such developments unlikely within the narrow timeframe.