Trader sentiment leans slightly toward "No" on a new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 52% implied probability, driven by historical negotiation timelines that rarely yield agreements two years before expiration—last deal required a 99-day lockout. Preliminary proposals exchanged between MLB owners and the MLBPA in September-October signal early engagement on revenue sharing, luxury tax, and minimum salary, fostering competitive balance amid optimism for pre-2026 resolution, yet no formal bargaining sessions are scheduled. Momentum toward "Yes" could build from rapid progress reports post-World Series, while stalled talks or divisive issues like service time would reinforce "No," reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing labor uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
NEW
NEW
Dec 1, 2026
Да
NEW
NEW
Dec 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Dec 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Dec 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment leans slightly toward "No" on a new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 52% implied probability, driven by historical negotiation timelines that rarely yield agreements two years before expiration—last deal required a 99-day lockout. Preliminary proposals exchanged between MLB owners and the MLBPA in September-October signal early engagement on revenue sharing, luxury tax, and minimum salary, fostering competitive balance amid optimism for pre-2026 resolution, yet no formal bargaining sessions are scheduled. Momentum toward "Yes" could build from rapid progress reports post-World Series, while stalled talks or divisive issues like service time would reinforce "No," reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing labor uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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