Negotiations for MLB's next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026, with the MLBPA submitting an initial proposal focused on expanded pre-arbitration bonuses and revenue adjustments but no salary cap. MLB quickly countered with a hard cap around $245 million plus a floor, marking the first such demand in decades and highlighting sharp divisions on competitive balance, luxury-tax thresholds, and revenue sharing. The current agreement expires December 1, 2026, and precedent from the 2021-22 talks shows owners typically impose a lockout at expiration when core economic issues remain unresolved. With formal bargaining still in its early stages and both sides preparing for potential impasse, the trader consensus at 57.5% on "No" reflects the low likelihood of a full deal by the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations for MLB's next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026, with the MLBPA submitting an initial proposal focused on expanded pre-arbitration bonuses and revenue adjustments but no salary cap. MLB quickly countered with a hard cap around $245 million plus a floor, marking the first such demand in decades and highlighting sharp divisions on competitive balance, luxury-tax thresholds, and revenue sharing. The current agreement expires December 1, 2026, and precedent from the 2021-22 talks shows owners typically impose a lockout at expiration when core economic issues remain unresolved. With formal bargaining still in its early stages and both sides preparing for potential impasse, the trader consensus at 57.5% on "No" reflects the low likelihood of a full deal by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Объем
$6,183Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations for MLB's next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026, with the MLBPA submitting an initial proposal focused on expanded pre-arbitration bonuses and revenue adjustments but no salary cap. MLB quickly countered with a hard cap around $245 million plus a floor, marking the first such demand in decades and highlighting sharp divisions on competitive balance, luxury-tax thresholds, and revenue sharing. The current agreement expires December 1, 2026, and precedent from the 2021-22 talks shows owners typically impose a lockout at expiration when core economic issues remain unresolved. With formal bargaining still in its early stages and both sides preparing for potential impasse, the trader consensus at 57.5% on "No" reflects the low likelihood of a full deal by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$6,183Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations for MLB's next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026, with the MLBPA submitting an initial proposal focused on expanded pre-arbitration bonuses and revenue adjustments but no salary cap. MLB quickly countered with a hard cap around $245 million plus a floor, marking the first such demand in decades and highlighting sharp divisions on competitive balance, luxury-tax thresholds, and revenue sharing. The current agreement expires December 1, 2026, and precedent from the 2021-22 talks shows owners typically impose a lockout at expiration when core economic issues remain unresolved. With formal bargaining still in its early stages and both sides preparing for potential impasse, the trader consensus at 57.5% on "No" reflects the low likelihood of a full deal by the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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