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Технологии·AI

Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?

icon for Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
Технологии·AI

Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?

$468,418 Объем

21 авг. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$468,418 Объем

Polymarket

7 августа

$77,157 Объем

6%

14 августа

$44,013 Объем

65%

21 августа

$24,852 Объем

81%

31 августа

$35,640 Объем

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's rapid iteration through the Gemini 3 series, with Gemini 3 Pro previewed in November 2025 and Gemini 3.1 Pro following in February 2026, has set expectations for flagship Pro releases around major events such as Google I/O. The May 2026 I/O event delivered Gemini 3.5 Flash to general availability along with announcements for a forthcoming 3.5 Pro variant, while July 2026 brought Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite to production. These updates reflect ongoing emphasis on reasoning, agentic capabilities, and multimodal performance amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models. Traders monitor Google DeepMind announcements, developer API changelogs, and enterprise Vertex AI rollouts for signals on the next Pro model's timeline, as Pro versions typically follow longer cycles than incremental Flash updates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$468,418
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's rapid iteration through the Gemini 3 series, with Gemini 3 Pro previewed in November 2025 and Gemini 3.1 Pro following in February 2026, has set expectations for flagship Pro releases around major events such as Google I/O. The May 2026 I/O event delivered Gemini 3.5 Flash to general availability along with announcements for a forthcoming 3.5 Pro variant, while July 2026 brought Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite to production. These updates reflect ongoing emphasis on reasoning, agentic capabilities, and multimodal performance amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models. Traders monitor Google DeepMind announcements, developer API changelogs, and enterprise Vertex AI rollouts for signals on the next Pro model's timeline, as Pro versions typically follow longer cycles than incremental Flash updates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$468,418
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Связанные

icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 21, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 21, 2026?

43%
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?

96%
icon for Получит ли следующая модель Google Gemini Pro, добавленная в таблицу лидеров Арены, оценку не ниже 1480?

Получит ли следующая модель Google Gemini Pro, добавленная в таблицу лидеров Арены, оценку не ниже 1480?

86%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 18 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 августа» с 94%, за ним следует «21 августа» с 81%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 94¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $468.4K с момента запуска рынка Jun 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?», просмотри 18 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?» — «31 августа» с 94%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Следующий ближайший исход — «21 августа» с 81%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.