Claude Opus 5, released by Anthropic on July 24, 2026, drives the strong market consensus around claude-opus-5-max. The model delivers near-Fable 5 frontier performance on agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench and OSWorld 2.0 at roughly half the cost, with a 1-million-token context window, thinking enabled by default, and an expanded effort ladder up to “max.” It quickly became the default on Claude Max plans and leads several independent coding and knowledge-work leaderboards, while Fable 5 remains reserved for the most demanding autonomous tasks. Older Opus variants and non-Anthropic models trail due to comparatively weaker recent gains in practical deployment metrics. With the market resolving in mid-August, traders see limited near-term catalysts that would displace the newly released Opus 5 family before then.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛучшая модель ИИ 17 августа?
Лучшая модель ИИ 17 августа?
claude-opus-5-max 86%
claude-opus-5-high 22%
Другое 14%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
claude-opus-5-max
86%
claude-opus-5-high
22%
Другое
14%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
5%
claude-fable-5
4%
claude-opus-4-6
3%
claude-opus-5-max 86%
claude-opus-5-high 22%
Другое 14%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
claude-opus-5-max
$93 Объем
86%
claude-opus-5-high
$0 Объем
22%
Другое
$0 Объем
14%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$77 Объем
5%
claude-fable-5
$48 Объем
4%
claude-opus-4-6
$111 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Claude Opus 5, released by Anthropic on July 24, 2026, drives the strong market consensus around claude-opus-5-max. The model delivers near-Fable 5 frontier performance on agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench and OSWorld 2.0 at roughly half the cost, with a 1-million-token context window, thinking enabled by default, and an expanded effort ladder up to “max.” It quickly became the default on Claude Max plans and leads several independent coding and knowledge-work leaderboards, while Fable 5 remains reserved for the most demanding autonomous tasks. Older Opus variants and non-Anthropic models trail due to comparatively weaker recent gains in practical deployment metrics. With the market resolving in mid-August, traders see limited near-term catalysts that would displace the newly released Opus 5 family before then.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Объем
$330Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Claude Opus 5, released by Anthropic on July 24, 2026, drives the strong market consensus around claude-opus-5-max. The model delivers near-Fable 5 frontier performance on agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench and OSWorld 2.0 at roughly half the cost, with a 1-million-token context window, thinking enabled by default, and an expanded effort ladder up to “max.” It quickly became the default on Claude Max plans and leads several independent coding and knowledge-work leaderboards, while Fable 5 remains reserved for the most demanding autonomous tasks. Older Opus variants and non-Anthropic models trail due to comparatively weaker recent gains in practical deployment metrics. With the market resolving in mid-August, traders see limited near-term catalysts that would displace the newly released Opus 5 family before then.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$330Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude Opus 5, released by Anthropic on July 24, 2026, drives the strong market consensus around claude-opus-5-max. The model delivers near-Fable 5 frontier performance on agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench and OSWorld 2.0 at roughly half the cost, with a 1-million-token context window, thinking enabled by default, and an expanded effort ladder up to “max.” It quickly became the default on Claude Max plans and leads several independent coding and knowledge-work leaderboards, while Fable 5 remains reserved for the most demanding autonomous tasks. Older Opus variants and non-Anthropic models trail due to comparatively weaker recent gains in practical deployment metrics. With the market resolving in mid-August, traders see limited near-term catalysts that would displace the newly released Opus 5 family before then.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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