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Политика·аэропорт

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

Market icon
Политика·аэропорт

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

мар. 29

апр. 1

мар. 29

апр. 1

>5,000 99.7%

4,000-4,500 1.0%

4,500-5,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,113 Объем

>5,000 99.7%

4,000-4,500 1.0%

4,500-5,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,113 Объем

<2,000

$397 Объем

<1%

2,000-2,500

$612 Объем

<1%

2,500-3,000

$343 Объем

<1%

3,000-3,500

$245 Объем

<1%

3,500-4,000

$592 Объем

<1%

4,000-4,500

$343 Объем

1%

4,500-5,000

$175 Объем

1%

>5,000

$408 Объем

100%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware preliminary data reports 5,873 total delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, propelling trader consensus to 99.7% on the >5,000 outcome as the market awaits the official 12:00 PM ET snapshot from that source for resolution. Adverse weather including low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupted operations at major Northeast hubs like Boston (BOS) and New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), while FAA-mandated arrival reductions at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) due to runway construction exacerbated nationwide backups. This commanding lead reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of real-time tracking, with slim upset scenarios limited to unlikely data revisions or snapshot discrepancies lowering the count below 5,000.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$3,113
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware preliminary data reports 5,873 total delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, propelling trader consensus to 99.7% on the >5,000 outcome as the market awaits the official 12:00 PM ET snapshot from that source for resolution. Adverse weather including low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupted operations at major Northeast hubs like Boston (BOS) and New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), while FAA-mandated arrival reductions at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) due to runway construction exacerbated nationwide backups. This commanding lead reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of real-time tracking, with slim upset scenarios limited to unlikely data revisions or snapshot discrepancies lowering the count below 5,000.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$3,113
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «>5,000» с 100%, за ним следует «4,000-4,500» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?» — «>5,000» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «4,000-4,500» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.