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Политика·аэропорт

Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?

Market icon
Политика·аэропорт

Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?

мар. 29

мар. 30

мар. 31

мар. 29

мар. 30

мар. 31

5,500-6,000 50%

6,500-7,000 45%

6,000-6,500 40%

7,000-7,500 16%

Polymarket

$1,231 Объем

5,500-6,000 50%

6,500-7,000 45%

6,000-6,500 40%

7,000-7,500 16%

Polymarket

$1,231 Объем

<5,000

$542 Объем

10%

5,000-5,500

$369 Объем

5%

5,500-6,000

$100 Объем

50%

6,000-6,500

$100 Объем

25%

6,500-7,000

$0 Объем

45%

7,000-7,500

$0 Объем

16%

7,500-8,000

$38 Объем

10%

>8,000

$82 Объем

8%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$1,231
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data tallied 5,470 US flight delays on March 31—within, into, or out of the country—anchoring trader consensus tightly between the 5,500-6,000 (50%) and 6,500-7,000 (47.5%) bins amid expectations of final adjustments. FAA advisories highlighted wind impacts at New York-area (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Las Vegas (LAS) airports, while new San Francisco (SFO) restrictions on parallel approaches elevated arrival delays to around 25% of flights. Absent mid-March storm-level disruptions (over 12,000 delays), low cancellations (fewer than 150) signaled normalization, though prolonged partial government shutdown strained TSA staffing, slowing security and boarding to compound late-day volumes. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics confirmation using 15-minute gate arrival criteria, due shortly, will resolve the market and likely determine separation.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$1,231
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «5,500-6,000» с 50%, за ним следует «6,500-7,000» с 46%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 50¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?» — «5,500-6,000» с 50%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Следующий ближайший исход — «6,500-7,000» с 46%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.