Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" music video surpassing 3 million YouTube views in its first week, with 66% implied probability, driven by a strong debut of over 1 million views in the initial 24 hours following its surprise April 2 drop—adding roughly 480,000 on day two for nearly 1.9 million total by early week four. The visualizer-style homage, featuring archival Elizabeth Taylor footage synced to the track from The Life of a Showgirl, has sparked Swiftie buzz across social media and coverage in Billboard and Elle, fueling expectations of a classic late-week streaming surge akin to recent hits like "Opalite" (19 million views). Despite the low-key release lacking high-production narrative, historical fan engagement patterns position 2.5-2.75 million as the next likely bin at 41%, with three days left for momentum shifts via playlist adds or viral clips before week-one resolution.