Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$137,056 Объем
$137,056 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140–159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200–219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340–359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$137,056 Объем
$137,056 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140–159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200–219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340–359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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