Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено65-89 38%
90-114 27%
40-64 20%
115-139 12%
NEW
$79,026 Объем
NEW
$79,026 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
Меньше 40
2%
40-64
20%
65-89
38%
90-114
27%
115-139
12%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215–239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 38%
90-114 27%
40-64 20%
115-139 12%
NEW
$79,026 Объем
NEW
$79,026 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
Меньше 40
$9,965 Объем
2%
40-64
$5,799 Объем
20%
65-89
$4,646 Объем
38%
90-114
$3,982 Объем
27%
115-139
$2,091 Объем
12%
140-164
$3,869 Объем
3%
165-189
$4,669 Объем
1%
190-214
$7,341 Объем
1%
215–239
$19,985 Объем
<1%
240+
$16,680 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Объем
$79,026Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$79,026Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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