Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk will post 300-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026, with razor-thin leads for the 320-339 (11.5%) and 340-359 (11.5%) bins over 300-319 (11.0%), driven by his historical weekly averages of 250-350 X posts that explode during controversies like political clashes or Tesla drama. Recent surges—over 400 in election-fueled weeks—highlight event risks, with 2026's early-spring slot ripe for SpaceX launches, xAI reveals, or DOGE policy buzz potentially tipping scales toward 360-399 (10.5% combined). Absent confirmed catalysts, sentiment hinges on Elon's unpredictable impulse posting, keeping tails like 400+ viable but low-probability bets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено300-319 12%
320-339 12%
340-359 12%
360-379 11%
$146,166 Объем
$146,166 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200-219
4%
220-239
5%
240-259
5%
260-279
7%
280-299
10%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
12%
360-379
11%
380-399
9%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
340-359 12%
360-379 11%
$146,166 Объем
$146,166 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200-219
4%
220-239
5%
240-259
5%
260-279
7%
280-299
10%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
12%
360-379
11%
380-399
9%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk will post 300-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026, with razor-thin leads for the 320-339 (11.5%) and 340-359 (11.5%) bins over 300-319 (11.0%), driven by his historical weekly averages of 250-350 X posts that explode during controversies like political clashes or Tesla drama. Recent surges—over 400 in election-fueled weeks—highlight event risks, with 2026's early-spring slot ripe for SpaceX launches, xAI reveals, or DOGE policy buzz potentially tipping scales toward 360-399 (10.5% combined). Absent confirmed catalysts, sentiment hinges on Elon's unpredictable impulse posting, keeping tails like 400+ viable but low-probability bets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы