Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet count for March 20-27, 2026, at 240-319 posts, with 280-299 leading at 12% implied odds and 300-319 close behind at 11.5%, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting amid tech, space, and political fervor. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 30-45 tweets daily—spiking during Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, or Trump administration crossovers—fueling expectations of 35-40 per day over the eight-day span. Competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven volatility: a quiet news cycle could dip toward 240s (10.5%), while controversies or announcements push into 320+ (10.5%). Historical precedents from 2024 election surges underscore the tight clustering, as traders weigh his cultural dominance against potential burnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено280-299 12%
300-319 12%
240-259 11%
260-279 11%
$392,685 Объем
$392,685 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60–79
<1%
80–99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180–199
3%
200-219
5%
220–239
6%
240-259
11%
260-279
11%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320–339
11%
340-359
9%
360–379
8%
380-399
6%
400–419
4%
420-439
3%
440–459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560–579
<1%
580+
<1%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
240-259 11%
260-279 11%
$392,685 Объем
$392,685 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60–79
<1%
80–99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180–199
3%
200-219
5%
220–239
6%
240-259
11%
260-279
11%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320–339
11%
340-359
9%
360–379
8%
380-399
6%
400–419
4%
420-439
3%
440–459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560–579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet count for March 20-27, 2026, at 240-319 posts, with 280-299 leading at 12% implied odds and 300-319 close behind at 11.5%, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting amid tech, space, and political fervor. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 30-45 tweets daily—spiking during Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, or Trump administration crossovers—fueling expectations of 35-40 per day over the eight-day span. Competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven volatility: a quiet news cycle could dip toward 240s (10.5%), while controversies or announcements push into 320+ (10.5%). Historical precedents from 2024 election surges underscore the tight clustering, as traders weigh his cultural dominance against potential burnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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