OpenAI’s recent September 1 blog post confirming Astra as its first model to reach the “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under its Preparedness Framework has driven the strong trader consensus around an imminent launch. The announcement detailed completed safety testing, new refusal and monitoring safeguards added after the Hugging Face incident, and plans for restricted initial access to advanced cyber features via a small tester group before broader Daybreak Blue rollout. With Anthropic shipping Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 the same day and no further delays signaled, market-implied odds heavily favor a September 3 release as the most probable next step in OpenAI’s frontier model cadence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAstra от OpenAI выпущена...?
Astra от OpenAI выпущена...?
3 сентября 81.4%
23 сентября 5.2%
26 сентября 5.0%
2 сентября или раньше 4.2%
НОВОЕ
$40,655 Объем
НОВОЕ
$40,655 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
2 сентября или раньше
4%
3 сентября
81%
4 сентября
4%
5 сентября
1%
6 сентября
1%
7 сентября
2%
8 сентября
3%
9 сентября
2%
10 сентября
3%
11 сентября
1%
12 сентября
1%
13 сентября
1%
14 сентября
1%
15 сентября
1%
16 сентября
1%
17 сентября
1%
18 сентября
1%
19 сентября
1%
20 сентября
1%
21 сентября
2%
22 сентября
1%
23 сентября
5%
24 сентября
2%
25 сентября
1%
26 сентября
5%
27 сентября
1%
28 сентября
1%
29 сентября
1%
30 сентября
1%
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября
4%
3 сентября 81.4%
23 сентября 5.2%
26 сентября 5.0%
2 сентября или раньше 4.2%
НОВОЕ
$40,655 Объем
НОВОЕ
$40,655 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
2 сентября или раньше
$2,910 Объем
4%
3 сентября
$8,417 Объем
81%
4 сентября
$2,693 Объем
4%
5 сентября
$1,702 Объем
1%
6 сентября
$892 Объем
1%
7 сентября
$961 Объем
2%
8 сентября
$654 Объем
3%
9 сентября
$758 Объем
2%
10 сентября
$1,280 Объем
3%
11 сентября
$756 Объем
1%
12 сентября
$733 Объем
1%
13 сентября
$834 Объем
1%
14 сентября
$766 Объем
1%
15 сентября
$1,185 Объем
1%
16 сентября
$855 Объем
1%
17 сентября
$855 Объем
1%
18 сентября
$755 Объем
1%
19 сентября
$755 Объем
1%
20 сентября
$855 Объем
1%
21 сентября
$1,015 Объем
2%
22 сентября
$755 Объем
1%
23 сентября
$802 Объем
5%
24 сентября
$1,780 Объем
2%
25 сентября
$1,015 Объем
1%
26 сентября
$802 Объем
5%
27 сентября
$1,660 Объем
1%
28 сентября
$1,121 Объем
1%
29 сентября
$755 Объем
1%
30 сентября
$765 Объем
1%
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября
$1,569 Объем
4%
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s recent September 1 blog post confirming Astra as its first model to reach the “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under its Preparedness Framework has driven the strong trader consensus around an imminent launch. The announcement detailed completed safety testing, new refusal and monitoring safeguards added after the Hugging Face incident, and plans for restricted initial access to advanced cyber features via a small tester group before broader Daybreak Blue rollout. With Anthropic shipping Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 the same day and no further delays signaled, market-implied odds heavily favor a September 3 release as the most probable next step in OpenAI’s frontier model cadence.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Объем
$40,655Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s recent September 1 blog post confirming Astra as its first model to reach the “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under its Preparedness Framework has driven the strong trader consensus around an imminent launch. The announcement detailed completed safety testing, new refusal and monitoring safeguards added after the Hugging Face incident, and plans for restricted initial access to advanced cyber features via a small tester group before broader Daybreak Blue rollout. With Anthropic shipping Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 the same day and no further delays signaled, market-implied odds heavily favor a September 3 release as the most probable next step in OpenAI’s frontier model cadence.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$40,655Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s recent September 1 blog post confirming Astra as its first model to reach the “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under its Preparedness Framework has driven the strong trader consensus around an imminent launch. The announcement detailed completed safety testing, new refusal and monitoring safeguards added after the Hugging Face incident, and plans for restricted initial access to advanced cyber features via a small tester group before broader Daybreak Blue rollout. With Anthropic shipping Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 the same day and no further delays signaled, market-implied odds heavily favor a September 3 release as the most probable next step in OpenAI’s frontier model cadence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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