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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Market icon

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Up

76% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Up

76% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same.

The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter.

This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
May 5, 2026
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same.

The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter.

This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
May 5, 2026
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?» — это рынок прогнозов дневной на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на то, закончится ли цена Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? выше («Up») или ниже («Down») своей цены открытия в течение окна дневной, указанного в заголовке. Текущая вероятность рынка составляет 76% для «Up». Цена 76% означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 76%. Цены обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на движение цены Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?» — активный краткосрочный рынок на Polymarket. Объём торгов может быстро расти по мере продвижения окна дневной — входи раньше, чтобы помочь сформировать коэффициенты до закрытия этого окна.

Чтобы торговать на «Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?», реши, считаешь ли ты, что цена Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? в полдень ET May 4 будет выше («Up») или ниже («Down»), чем в полдень ET March 20. Купи «Up», если считаешь, что цена вырастет, или «Down», если считаешь, что упадёт. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой исход правильный, каждая акция принесёт $1,00. Если нет — акции будут стоить $0.

Текущая вероятность для «Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?» составляет 76% для «Up», что означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность того, что цена Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? закроется up в этом окне дневной, в 76%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на данные о цене Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?. За целый день коэффициенты отражают развивающиеся настроения по мере развёртывания ценового движения дня. Заходи чаще или торгуй сейчас, пока окно не закрылось.

Рынок «Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?» разрешается на основе сравнения цены Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? в полдень ET May 4 с ценой в полдень ET March 20, используя цены закрытия минутных свечей Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT. Если цена в полдень May 4 выше — исход «Up»; если ниже — «Down»; если равна — рынок разрешается 50-50. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии в разделе «Правила».