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Первичная маржа победы республиканского сената Техаса

Market icon

Первичная маржа победы республиканского сената Техаса

Корнин <3% 98.6%

Корнин 3–6% 9.6%

Пакстон 6–9% 1.5%

Пакстон 3–6% 1.4%

Polymarket

$7,692 Объем

Корнин <3% 98.6%

Корнин 3–6% 9.6%

Пакстон 6–9% 1.5%

Пакстон 3–6% 1.4%

Polymarket

$7,692 Объем

Market icon

Пакстон 9%+

$0 Объем

<1%

Market icon

Пакстон 6–9%

$0 Объем

2%

Market icon

Пакстон 3–6%

$0 Объем

1%

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Пакстон <3%

$0 Объем

1%

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Корнин 6%+

$0 Объем

1%

Market icon

Корнин 3–6%

$1,348 Объем

10%

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Корнин <3%

$6,343 Объем

99%

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Хант 3%+

$0 Объем

<1%

Market icon

Хант <3%

$0 Объем

<1%

Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$7,692
Дата окончания
Mar 3, 2026
Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Первичная маржа победы республиканского сената Техаса" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Корнин <3%" at 99%, followed by "Корнин 3–6%" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Первичная маржа победы республиканского сената Техаса" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Первичная маржа победы республиканского сената Техаса," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Первичная маржа победы республиканского сената Техаса" is "Корнин <3%" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Корнин 3–6%" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Первичная маржа победы республиканского сената Техаса" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.