Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a $70-80 million second-weekend gross for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 46% implied probability, narrowly ahead of under $70 million at 36.5%, reflecting uncertainty in its post-Easter hold after a front-loaded $131.7 million domestic opening boosted by holiday family crowds. Strong Monday performance of $16.8 million—the year's best—signals solid word-of-mouth from audiences calling it a "dream come true," but analysts project a steeper drop than the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's 37% sophomore dip to $92 million, citing fading novelty and competition from new releases. Key swing factors include Thursday presales and Friday tracking updates, with family appeal potentially sustaining higher-end holds above $75 million if reviews and streaming buzz hold firm.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКасса 2-го уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»
Касса 2-го уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»
70-80 млн 45%
<70 млн 38%
80-90 млн 16%
>90 млн 2.8%
$10,593 Объем
$10,593 Объем
<70 млн
38%
70-80 млн
45%
80-90 млн
16%
>90 млн
3%
70-80 млн 45%
<70 млн 38%
80-90 млн 16%
>90 млн 2.8%
$10,593 Объем
$10,593 Объем
<70 млн
38%
70-80 млн
45%
80-90 млн
16%
>90 млн
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a $70-80 million second-weekend gross for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 46% implied probability, narrowly ahead of under $70 million at 36.5%, reflecting uncertainty in its post-Easter hold after a front-loaded $131.7 million domestic opening boosted by holiday family crowds. Strong Monday performance of $16.8 million—the year's best—signals solid word-of-mouth from audiences calling it a "dream come true," but analysts project a steeper drop than the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's 37% sophomore dip to $92 million, citing fading novelty and competition from new releases. Key swing factors include Thursday presales and Friday tracking updates, with family appeal potentially sustaining higher-end holds above $75 million if reviews and streaming buzz hold firm.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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