Mexican security forces and U.S. agencies have intensified operations against Sinaloa Cartel and Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) leadership in 2026, producing several high-profile arrests and extraditions. Key developments include the April capture of CJNG regional commander Audias Flores Silva, alias “El Jardinero,” and the January extradition of Sinaloa figure Roberto Najera Gutierrez. U.S. indictments and multimillion-dollar rewards remain active for fugitives such as René Arzate-García (“La Rana”) and his brother, while Mexico has transferred additional cartel members to U.S. custody. Ongoing bilateral intelligence sharing, sanctions on trafficking networks, and domestic crackdowns on political-criminal ties continue to shape enforcement priorities through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКого из лидеров картеля арестуют в 2026 году?
Кого из лидеров картеля арестуют в 2026 году?
$143,093 Объем
28 фев. 2026 г.
Ивaн Арчивальдо Гусман Саласар
70%
Хесус Альфредо Гусман Саласар
42%
Рикардо Руис Веласко
48%
Уго Гонсало Мендоса Гайтана
36%
Хуан Карлос Валенсия Гонсалес
24%
Хуан Рейес Мехия Гонсалес
50%
Хуан Пабло Ледесма
44%
$143,093 Объем
Ивaн Арчивальдо Гусман Саласар
$5,906 Объем
70%
Хесус Альфредо Гусман Саласар
$5,848 Объем
42%
Рикардо Руис Веласко
$60,997 Объем
48%
Уго Гонсало Мендоса Гайтана
$4,874 Объем
36%
Хуан Карлос Валенсия Гонсалес
$58,662 Объем
24%
Хуан Рейес Мехия Гонсалес
$200 Объем
50%
Хуан Пабло Ледесма
$658 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican security forces and U.S. agencies have intensified operations against Sinaloa Cartel and Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) leadership in 2026, producing several high-profile arrests and extraditions. Key developments include the April capture of CJNG regional commander Audias Flores Silva, alias “El Jardinero,” and the January extradition of Sinaloa figure Roberto Najera Gutierrez. U.S. indictments and multimillion-dollar rewards remain active for fugitives such as René Arzate-García (“La Rana”) and his brother, while Mexico has transferred additional cartel members to U.S. custody. Ongoing bilateral intelligence sharing, sanctions on trafficking networks, and domestic crackdowns on political-criminal ties continue to shape enforcement priorities through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
Объем
$143,093Дата окончания
28 фев. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican security forces and U.S. agencies have intensified operations against Sinaloa Cartel and Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) leadership in 2026, producing several high-profile arrests and extraditions. Key developments include the April capture of CJNG regional commander Audias Flores Silva, alias “El Jardinero,” and the January extradition of Sinaloa figure Roberto Najera Gutierrez. U.S. indictments and multimillion-dollar rewards remain active for fugitives such as René Arzate-García (“La Rana”) and his brother, while Mexico has transferred additional cartel members to U.S. custody. Ongoing bilateral intelligence sharing, sanctions on trafficking networks, and domestic crackdowns on political-criminal ties continue to shape enforcement priorities through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$143,093Дата окончания
28 фев. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mexican security forces and U.S. agencies have intensified operations against Sinaloa Cartel and Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) leadership in 2026, producing several high-profile arrests and extraditions. Key developments include the April capture of CJNG regional commander Audias Flores Silva, alias “El Jardinero,” and the January extradition of Sinaloa figure Roberto Najera Gutierrez. U.S. indictments and multimillion-dollar rewards remain active for fugitives such as René Arzate-García (“La Rana”) and his brother, while Mexico has transferred additional cartel members to U.S. custody. Ongoing bilateral intelligence sharing, sanctions on trafficking networks, and domestic crackdowns on political-criminal ties continue to shape enforcement priorities through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы