Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People's Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further personnel changes through 2026. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli marked the latest stage of a purge that has removed more than 100 senior officers since 2022, leaving the CMC with minimal uniformed representation beyond Xi and one remaining general. These moves align with repeated emphasis on enforcing political loyalty and discipline ahead of the next leadership cycle. Recent Politburo sessions, including a late July 2026 call to intensify military graft probes, underscore the priority placed on consolidating control over defense institutions. Traders monitoring such markets focus on patterns of removals tied to Rocket Force, theater commands, and CMC roles, as well as any signals from upcoming Party meetings or personnel announcements that could expand the scope beyond the armed forces.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$196,326 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Дун Цзюнь
8%
Чжан Шэнмин
6%
Цай Ци
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
5%
Ван Хунин
4%
Дин Сюэсян
4%
Ван И
2%
Ли Цян
2%
Ли Си
1%
$196,326 Объем
Дун Цзюнь
$37,165 Объем
8%
Чжан Шэнмин
$27,062 Объем
6%
Цай Ци
$42,714 Объем
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
$10,887 Объем
5%
Ван Хунин
$11,803 Объем
4%
Дин Сюэсян
$16,053 Объем
4%
Ван И
$15,608 Объем
2%
Ли Цян
$6,846 Объем
2%
Ли Си
$28,189 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People's Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further personnel changes through 2026. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli marked the latest stage of a purge that has removed more than 100 senior officers since 2022, leaving the CMC with minimal uniformed representation beyond Xi and one remaining general. These moves align with repeated emphasis on enforcing political loyalty and discipline ahead of the next leadership cycle. Recent Politburo sessions, including a late July 2026 call to intensify military graft probes, underscore the priority placed on consolidating control over defense institutions. Traders monitoring such markets focus on patterns of removals tied to Rocket Force, theater commands, and CMC roles, as well as any signals from upcoming Party meetings or personnel announcements that could expand the scope beyond the armed forces.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Объем
$196,326Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People's Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further personnel changes through 2026. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli marked the latest stage of a purge that has removed more than 100 senior officers since 2022, leaving the CMC with minimal uniformed representation beyond Xi and one remaining general. These moves align with repeated emphasis on enforcing political loyalty and discipline ahead of the next leadership cycle. Recent Politburo sessions, including a late July 2026 call to intensify military graft probes, underscore the priority placed on consolidating control over defense institutions. Traders monitoring such markets focus on patterns of removals tied to Rocket Force, theater commands, and CMC roles, as well as any signals from upcoming Party meetings or personnel announcements that could expand the scope beyond the armed forces.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$196,326Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People's Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further personnel changes through 2026. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli marked the latest stage of a purge that has removed more than 100 senior officers since 2022, leaving the CMC with minimal uniformed representation beyond Xi and one remaining general. These moves align with repeated emphasis on enforcing political loyalty and discipline ahead of the next leadership cycle. Recent Politburo sessions, including a late July 2026 call to intensify military graft probes, underscore the priority placed on consolidating control over defense institutions. Traders monitoring such markets focus on patterns of removals tied to Rocket Force, theater commands, and CMC roles, as well as any signals from upcoming Party meetings or personnel announcements that could expand the scope beyond the armed forces.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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