In Chinese Communist Party politics, Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on loyalty within the military and senior ranks shape expectations for personnel shifts ahead of the 21st National Congress in 2027. Developments in 2025 and early 2026, including leadership adjustments in the People's Liberation Army Rocket Force and other central departments, reflect continued consolidation through investigations by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection. Key signals from Politburo sessions, Beidaihe gatherings, and economic policy reviews influence trader views on likely targets in security, finance, or provincial roles. Historical patterns of pre-congress purges, combined with factional dynamics and performance metrics, provide context for assessing individual vulnerability without predetermined outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$196,303 Объем
Дун Цзюнь
8%
Чжан Шэнмин
6%
Цай Ци
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
5%
Ван Хунин
4%
Дин Сюэсян
4%
Ван И
2%
Ли Цян
2%
Ли Си
1%
$196,303 Объем
Дун Цзюнь
8%
Чжан Шэнмин
6%
Цай Ци
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
5%
Ван Хунин
4%
Дин Сюэсян
4%
Ван И
2%
Ли Цян
2%
Ли Си
1%
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In Chinese Communist Party politics, Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on loyalty within the military and senior ranks shape expectations for personnel shifts ahead of the 21st National Congress in 2027. Developments in 2025 and early 2026, including leadership adjustments in the People's Liberation Army Rocket Force and other central departments, reflect continued consolidation through investigations by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection. Key signals from Politburo sessions, Beidaihe gatherings, and economic policy reviews influence trader views on likely targets in security, finance, or provincial roles. Historical patterns of pre-congress purges, combined with factional dynamics and performance metrics, provide context for assessing individual vulnerability without predetermined outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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