Zhang Youxia, the former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under formal investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, then officially removed from his CMC and National People’s Congress posts by the NPC Standing Committee on August 28, 2026. These steps followed earlier purges of other senior PLA figures and aligned with ongoing anti-corruption and political rectification efforts inside the military. As of mid-September 2026, authorities have not announced formal charges, a trial, or any sentencing outcome for Zhang. Comparable high-level cases have required extended investigation periods before resolution, and the recent timing of his formal removal leaves limited room for a completed judicial process by the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 88% probability that no prison sentence will be imposed before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
12% вероятность
$165,413 Объем
$165,413 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
12% вероятность
$165,413 Объем
$165,413 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under formal investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, then officially removed from his CMC and National People’s Congress posts by the NPC Standing Committee on August 28, 2026. These steps followed earlier purges of other senior PLA figures and aligned with ongoing anti-corruption and political rectification efforts inside the military. As of mid-September 2026, authorities have not announced formal charges, a trial, or any sentencing outcome for Zhang. Comparable high-level cases have required extended investigation periods before resolution, and the recent timing of his formal removal leaves limited room for a completed judicial process by the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 88% probability that no prison sentence will be imposed before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Объем
$165,413Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under formal investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, then officially removed from his CMC and National People’s Congress posts by the NPC Standing Committee on August 28, 2026. These steps followed earlier purges of other senior PLA figures and aligned with ongoing anti-corruption and political rectification efforts inside the military. As of mid-September 2026, authorities have not announced formal charges, a trial, or any sentencing outcome for Zhang. Comparable high-level cases have required extended investigation periods before resolution, and the recent timing of his formal removal leaves limited room for a completed judicial process by the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 88% probability that no prison sentence will be imposed before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$165,413Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Zhang Youxia, the former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under formal investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, then officially removed from his CMC and National People’s Congress posts by the NPC Standing Committee on August 28, 2026. These steps followed earlier purges of other senior PLA figures and aligned with ongoing anti-corruption and political rectification efforts inside the military. As of mid-September 2026, authorities have not announced formal charges, a trial, or any sentencing outcome for Zhang. Comparable high-level cases have required extended investigation periods before resolution, and the recent timing of his formal removal leaves limited room for a completed judicial process by the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 88% probability that no prison sentence will be imposed before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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