Recent US-China diplomatic engagements, including the October 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and May 2026 Beijing summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, have produced concrete tariff modifications and extensions. These include US reductions on select Chinese imports, prolonged suspensions of reciprocal duties until November 2026, and Chinese commitments to remove or suspend tariffs on US agricultural products through December 31, 2026, alongside pledges for expanded purchases and new bilateral trade councils. Ongoing negotiations over reciprocal cuts, rare earth controls, and supply-chain issues have reinforced trader expectations of further formalization. With multiple verified executive actions and ministry statements already adjusting tariff rates and timelines, the market's elevated Yes consensus reflects sustained momentum toward additional agreements within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
$216,997 Объем
$216,997 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
$216,997 Объем
$216,997 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US-China diplomatic engagements, including the October 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and May 2026 Beijing summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, have produced concrete tariff modifications and extensions. These include US reductions on select Chinese imports, prolonged suspensions of reciprocal duties until November 2026, and Chinese commitments to remove or suspend tariffs on US agricultural products through December 31, 2026, alongside pledges for expanded purchases and new bilateral trade councils. Ongoing negotiations over reciprocal cuts, rare earth controls, and supply-chain issues have reinforced trader expectations of further formalization. With multiple verified executive actions and ministry statements already adjusting tariff rates and timelines, the market's elevated Yes consensus reflects sustained momentum toward additional agreements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Объем
$216,997Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US-China diplomatic engagements, including the October 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and May 2026 Beijing summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, have produced concrete tariff modifications and extensions. These include US reductions on select Chinese imports, prolonged suspensions of reciprocal duties until November 2026, and Chinese commitments to remove or suspend tariffs on US agricultural products through December 31, 2026, alongside pledges for expanded purchases and new bilateral trade councils. Ongoing negotiations over reciprocal cuts, rare earth controls, and supply-chain issues have reinforced trader expectations of further formalization. With multiple verified executive actions and ministry statements already adjusting tariff rates and timelines, the market's elevated Yes consensus reflects sustained momentum toward additional agreements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$216,997Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-China diplomatic engagements, including the October 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and May 2026 Beijing summit between Presidents Trump and Xi, have produced concrete tariff modifications and extensions. These include US reductions on select Chinese imports, prolonged suspensions of reciprocal duties until November 2026, and Chinese commitments to remove or suspend tariffs on US agricultural products through December 31, 2026, alongside pledges for expanded purchases and new bilateral trade councils. Ongoing negotiations over reciprocal cuts, rare earth controls, and supply-chain issues have reinforced trader expectations of further formalization. With multiple verified executive actions and ministry statements already adjusting tariff rates and timelines, the market's elevated Yes consensus reflects sustained momentum toward additional agreements within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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