The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign has defined US-Cuba dynamics in 2026, with successive executive orders, secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities in mining, finance, and logistics, and an effective oil embargo continuing through summer. These measures followed Cuba’s June National Assembly approval of broad economic liberalization measures—expanding private enterprise, foreign investment rights, and limited state-asset sales—which Washington described as insufficient and superficial. Direct talks that occurred in April and May, covering reforms, property claims, and prisoner releases, produced no breakthrough and appear stalled, while the August extension of Trading with the Enemy Act authorities locked in the sanctions framework. Traders assessing the probability of a formal economic deal by any near-term deadline therefore weigh Cuba’s deepening crisis against the administration’s insistence on verifiable structural changes before any sanctions relief.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭкономическая сделка между США и Кубой от...?
Экономическая сделка между США и Кубой от...?
$434,056 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
December 31
21%
$434,056 Объем
December 31
$22,183 Объем
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign has defined US-Cuba dynamics in 2026, with successive executive orders, secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities in mining, finance, and logistics, and an effective oil embargo continuing through summer. These measures followed Cuba’s June National Assembly approval of broad economic liberalization measures—expanding private enterprise, foreign investment rights, and limited state-asset sales—which Washington described as insufficient and superficial. Direct talks that occurred in April and May, covering reforms, property claims, and prisoner releases, produced no breakthrough and appear stalled, while the August extension of Trading with the Enemy Act authorities locked in the sanctions framework. Traders assessing the probability of a formal economic deal by any near-term deadline therefore weigh Cuba’s deepening crisis against the administration’s insistence on verifiable structural changes before any sanctions relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Объем
$434,056Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign has defined US-Cuba dynamics in 2026, with successive executive orders, secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities in mining, finance, and logistics, and an effective oil embargo continuing through summer. These measures followed Cuba’s June National Assembly approval of broad economic liberalization measures—expanding private enterprise, foreign investment rights, and limited state-asset sales—which Washington described as insufficient and superficial. Direct talks that occurred in April and May, covering reforms, property claims, and prisoner releases, produced no breakthrough and appear stalled, while the August extension of Trading with the Enemy Act authorities locked in the sanctions framework. Traders assessing the probability of a formal economic deal by any near-term deadline therefore weigh Cuba’s deepening crisis against the administration’s insistence on verifiable structural changes before any sanctions relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$434,056Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign has defined US-Cuba dynamics in 2026, with successive executive orders, secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities in mining, finance, and logistics, and an effective oil embargo continuing through summer. These measures followed Cuba’s June National Assembly approval of broad economic liberalization measures—expanding private enterprise, foreign investment rights, and limited state-asset sales—which Washington described as insufficient and superficial. Direct talks that occurred in April and May, covering reforms, property claims, and prisoner releases, produced no breakthrough and appear stalled, while the August extension of Trading with the Enemy Act authorities locked in the sanctions framework. Traders assessing the probability of a formal economic deal by any near-term deadline therefore weigh Cuba’s deepening crisis against the administration’s insistence on verifiable structural changes before any sanctions relief.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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