Several Western holdouts remain after the September 2025 wave at the UN General Assembly, when the UK, Canada, France, Australia, Belgium, Portugal, and smaller European states brought the total recognizing Palestine to 157 UN members. Trader focus centers on conditional pledges from Belgium and others, recent Belgian signals in July 2026 to start the process amid reported Hamas withdrawal from Gaza governance, and any follow-through before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Key variables include progress toward Palestinian elections scheduled for late 2026 or early 2027, sustained ceasefire or hostage developments, alignment with the two-state framework, and positions of remaining G7 states such as Germany, Italy, and Japan. U.S. policy continuity and Israeli responses continue to shape diplomatic incentives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$756,830 Объем

Бельгия
19%

Нидерланды
14%

Италия
14%

Новая Зеландия
12%

Япония
11%

Финляндия
10%

Австрия
7%

Соединённые Штаты
5%

Israel
4%

Греция
4%

Германия
4%
$756,830 Объем

Бельгия
19%

Нидерланды
14%

Италия
14%

Новая Зеландия
12%

Япония
11%

Финляндия
10%

Австрия
7%

Соединённые Штаты
5%

Israel
4%

Греция
4%

Германия
4%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Several Western holdouts remain after the September 2025 wave at the UN General Assembly, when the UK, Canada, France, Australia, Belgium, Portugal, and smaller European states brought the total recognizing Palestine to 157 UN members. Trader focus centers on conditional pledges from Belgium and others, recent Belgian signals in July 2026 to start the process amid reported Hamas withdrawal from Gaza governance, and any follow-through before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Key variables include progress toward Palestinian elections scheduled for late 2026 or early 2027, sustained ceasefire or hostage developments, alignment with the two-state framework, and positions of remaining G7 states such as Germany, Italy, and Japan. U.S. policy continuity and Israeli responses continue to shape diplomatic incentives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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