The extreme rarity of a calendar Grand Slam—no man has achieved one since Rod Laver in 1969—underpins the market's overwhelming consensus on "None," as the 2026 schedule demands sustained excellence across hard courts in Melbourne, clay at Roland Garros, grass at Wimbledon, and hard courts in New York amid a deep ATP field. Carlos Alcaraz's early 2026 Australian Open victory, which completed his career Grand Slam, has drawn minor attention to his 0.1% chance, yet formidable rivals like Jannik Sinner's recent Masters dominance and Novak Djokovic's experience create steep barriers, compounded by injury risks, surface transitions, and the physical toll of a full season. Only an unprecedented run of flawless form, health, and favorable draws could realistically shift outcomes before the remaining majors conclude.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНет 100.0%
Янник Синнер <1%
Карлос Алькарас <1%
Новак Джокович <1%
$386,941 Объем
$386,941 Объем
Янник Синнер
Нет
Карлос Алькарас
Нет
Новак Джокович
Нет
Александр Зверев
Нет
Тейлор Фритц
Нет
Даниил Медведев
Нет
Бен Шелтон
Нет
Ник Киргиос
Нет
Другой игрок
Нет
Нет
Да
Нет 100.0%
Янник Синнер <1%
Карлос Алькарас <1%
Новак Джокович <1%
$386,941 Объем
$386,941 Объем
Янник Синнер
Нет
Карлос Алькарас
Нет
Новак Джокович
Нет
Александр Зверев
Нет
Тейлор Фритц
Нет
Даниил Медведев
Нет
Бен Шелтон
Нет
Ник Киргиос
Нет
Другой игрок
Нет
Нет
Да
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The extreme rarity of a calendar Grand Slam—no man has achieved one since Rod Laver in 1969—underpins the market's overwhelming consensus on "None," as the 2026 schedule demands sustained excellence across hard courts in Melbourne, clay at Roland Garros, grass at Wimbledon, and hard courts in New York amid a deep ATP field. Carlos Alcaraz's early 2026 Australian Open victory, which completed his career Grand Slam, has drawn minor attention to his 0.1% chance, yet formidable rivals like Jannik Sinner's recent Masters dominance and Novak Djokovic's experience create steep barriers, compounded by injury risks, surface transitions, and the physical toll of a full season. Only an unprecedented run of flawless form, health, and favorable draws could realistically shift outcomes before the remaining majors conclude.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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