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icon for Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?

Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?

icon for Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?

Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?

Да

57% вероятность
Polymarket

$31,913 Объем

Да

57% вероятность
Polymarket

$31,913 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent analyst reports from Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman, backed by supply chain sources, have solidified expectations for Apple's first OLED MacBook Pro models featuring on-cell touchscreen technology and M6 chips as part of a major redesign. These updates, including reinforced hinges for stable touch input alongside keyboard and trackpad use, align with a late 2026 window, though April reports flagged memory shortages that could shift production into early 2027. Leakers have described the touchscreen capability as "100% confirmed," yet the exact release timing remains the key variable driving the 57% implied probability for a 2026 launch. Software accommodations in macOS are reportedly prepared, with the outcome hinging on final supply chain resolution before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$31,913
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent analyst reports from Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman, backed by supply chain sources, have solidified expectations for Apple's first OLED MacBook Pro models featuring on-cell touchscreen technology and M6 chips as part of a major redesign. These updates, including reinforced hinges for stable touch input alongside keyboard and trackpad use, align with a late 2026 window, though April reports flagged memory shortages that could shift production into early 2027. Leakers have described the touchscreen capability as "100% confirmed," yet the exact release timing remains the key variable driving the 57% implied probability for a 2026 launch. Software accommodations in macOS are reportedly prepared, with the outcome hinging on final supply chain resolution before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$31,913
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?» с 57%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 57¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $31.9K с момента запуска рынка Mar 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?» — «Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?» с 57%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.