Apple's established annual iPhone cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports confirm the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable variant remain on track for fall 2026 alongside expected A20 chipset and AI enhancements, even as the base iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027 to manage production complexity. Trader consensus reflects this split-timeline reality and Apple's track record of meeting flagship deadlines, though minor delays from component shortages or last-minute regulatory reviews on advanced features could still alter exact availability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Apple выпускать iPhone 18 в 2026 году?
Да
$116,457 Объем
$116,457 Объем
Да
$116,457 Объем
$116,457 Объем
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's established annual iPhone cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports confirm the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable variant remain on track for fall 2026 alongside expected A20 chipset and AI enhancements, even as the base iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027 to manage production complexity. Trader consensus reflects this split-timeline reality and Apple's track record of meeting flagship deadlines, though minor delays from component shortages or last-minute regulatory reviews on advanced features could still alter exact availability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы