Apple's unbroken pattern of releasing at least one new flagship iPhone generation annually since 2007 underpins the 97% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable model are slated for a September 2026 debut, preserving the core yearly cadence despite rumors of a split timeline that could push base models into early 2027. Traders view this as low-risk given Apple's mature hardware pipeline, A-series chip development, and established manufacturing partners. While extreme supply disruptions, unexpected regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major technical setbacks could theoretically shift the calendar, such events remain rare and have never fully halted a generational release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Apple выпускать iPhone 18 в 2026 году?
Будет ли Apple выпускать iPhone 18 в 2026 году?
Да
$166,273 Объем
$166,273 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$166,273 Объем
$166,273 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's unbroken pattern of releasing at least one new flagship iPhone generation annually since 2007 underpins the 97% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable model are slated for a September 2026 debut, preserving the core yearly cadence despite rumors of a split timeline that could push base models into early 2027. Traders view this as low-risk given Apple's mature hardware pipeline, A-series chip development, and established manufacturing partners. While extreme supply disruptions, unexpected regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major technical setbacks could theoretically shift the calendar, such events remain rare and have never fully halted a generational release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Объем
$166,273Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's unbroken pattern of releasing at least one new flagship iPhone generation annually since 2007 underpins the 97% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable model are slated for a September 2026 debut, preserving the core yearly cadence despite rumors of a split timeline that could push base models into early 2027. Traders view this as low-risk given Apple's mature hardware pipeline, A-series chip development, and established manufacturing partners. While extreme supply disruptions, unexpected regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major technical setbacks could theoretically shift the calendar, such events remain rare and have never fully halted a generational release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$166,273Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's unbroken pattern of releasing at least one new flagship iPhone generation annually since 2007 underpins the 97% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable model are slated for a September 2026 debut, preserving the core yearly cadence despite rumors of a split timeline that could push base models into early 2027. Traders view this as low-risk given Apple's mature hardware pipeline, A-series chip development, and established manufacturing partners. While extreme supply disruptions, unexpected regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major technical setbacks could theoretically shift the calendar, such events remain rare and have never fully halted a generational release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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