Apple's established annual flagship release cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and the first foldable iPhone remain on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside expected hardware upgrades such as improved cameras and larger batteries, even as the standard iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027. This split strategy reflects production prioritization rather than outright cancellation. Traders assign low odds to major disruptions like regulatory blocks or severe technical setbacks, given Apple's track record of meeting fall timelines for high-end devices despite evolving lineups.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Apple выпускать iPhone 18 в 2026 году?
Будет ли Apple выпускать iPhone 18 в 2026 году?
Да
$116,457 Объем
$116,457 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$116,457 Объем
$116,457 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual flagship release cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and the first foldable iPhone remain on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside expected hardware upgrades such as improved cameras and larger batteries, even as the standard iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027. This split strategy reflects production prioritization rather than outright cancellation. Traders assign low odds to major disruptions like regulatory blocks or severe technical setbacks, given Apple's track record of meeting fall timelines for high-end devices despite evolving lineups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Объем
$116,457Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual flagship release cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and the first foldable iPhone remain on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside expected hardware upgrades such as improved cameras and larger batteries, even as the standard iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027. This split strategy reflects production prioritization rather than outright cancellation. Traders assign low odds to major disruptions like regulatory blocks or severe technical setbacks, given Apple's track record of meeting fall timelines for high-end devices despite evolving lineups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$116,457Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's established annual flagship release cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and the first foldable iPhone remain on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside expected hardware upgrades such as improved cameras and larger batteries, even as the standard iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027. This split strategy reflects production prioritization rather than outright cancellation. Traders assign low odds to major disruptions like regulatory blocks or severe technical setbacks, given Apple's track record of meeting fall timelines for high-end devices despite evolving lineups.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы