Diverging monetary policy paths between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the pair trading near 1.15 amid expectations of steady ECB rates near 2.25% through 2026 versus potential Fed easing or pauses from the current 3.50-3.75% funds range. Stronger U.S. growth data, including above-consensus Q3 expansion, has supported the dollar while euro-area inflation holds near the 2% target and energy price volatility adds uncertainty. Traders price in limited rate divergence narrowing, influencing forward-looking implied probabilities on 2026 levels. Key catalysts ahead include September FOMC and ECB meetings, upcoming CPI releases, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift rate expectations and volatility measures. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these macro differentials rather than certainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$88,825 Объем
↑ 1,40
2%
↑ 1,35
8%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
9%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
42%
↑ 1,20
24%
↓ 1,12
41%
↓ 1,10
41%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1,00
4%
$88,825 Объем
↑ 1,40
2%
↑ 1,35
8%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
9%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
42%
↑ 1,20
24%
↓ 1,12
41%
↓ 1,10
41%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1,00
4%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diverging monetary policy paths between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the pair trading near 1.15 amid expectations of steady ECB rates near 2.25% through 2026 versus potential Fed easing or pauses from the current 3.50-3.75% funds range. Stronger U.S. growth data, including above-consensus Q3 expansion, has supported the dollar while euro-area inflation holds near the 2% target and energy price volatility adds uncertainty. Traders price in limited rate divergence narrowing, influencing forward-looking implied probabilities on 2026 levels. Key catalysts ahead include September FOMC and ECB meetings, upcoming CPI releases, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift rate expectations and volatility measures. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these macro differentials rather than certainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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