Polymarket traders reflect a closely contested 52% implied probability for SPY reaching $665 at any intraday point during the week of March 30, 2026, with the ETF last closing at $650.34 after a 2.9% daily surge amid hopes for Iran conflict de-escalation. This rebound offsets March's 7.4% S&P 500 decline, driven by war-related risk-off sentiment, oil spikes, and delayed Fed rate cut expectations amid sticky inflation readings. Skin-in-the-game consensus prices in upside potential from renewed risk appetite and technical rebound from correction lows near 6,340 on the S&P 500, but downside risks persist from April 4 nonfarm payrolls and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, where policy guidance could shift rate path views and volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWill SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit Week of March 30 2026?
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit Week of March 30 2026?
↑ $665
51%
↑ $660
51%
↑ $655
52%
↓ $625
49%
↓ $620
51%
↓ $615
50%
↓ $610
50%
↓ $605
47%
↓ $600
43%
$6,180 Объем
↑ $665
51%
↑ $660
51%
↑ $655
52%
↓ $625
49%
↓ $620
51%
↓ $615
50%
↓ $610
50%
↓ $605
47%
↓ $600
43%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders reflect a closely contested 52% implied probability for SPY reaching $665 at any intraday point during the week of March 30, 2026, with the ETF last closing at $650.34 after a 2.9% daily surge amid hopes for Iran conflict de-escalation. This rebound offsets March's 7.4% S&P 500 decline, driven by war-related risk-off sentiment, oil spikes, and delayed Fed rate cut expectations amid sticky inflation readings. Skin-in-the-game consensus prices in upside potential from renewed risk appetite and technical rebound from correction lows near 6,340 on the S&P 500, but downside risks persist from April 4 nonfarm payrolls and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, where policy guidance could shift rate path views and volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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