Stripe and private equity firm Advent International submitted a joint $60.50-per-share bid for PayPal in July 2026, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion and representing a 28% premium to recent trading levels, yet PayPal’s board has held out for a higher price amid ongoing talks. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation from its February tender offer underscores its capacity, but the absence of a signed agreement, combined with anticipated antitrust review and the need for shareholder approval, leaves substantial execution risk before year-end. PayPal’s depressed share price—far below its 2021 peak—reflects structural challenges in digital payments, yet these same dynamics have not translated into a swift deal close. Trader consensus on a “No” outcome at 69.2% thus embeds the probability that negotiations extend past 2026 or collapse over valuation gaps.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Stripe покупать PayPal в 2026 году?
Будет ли Stripe покупать PayPal в 2026 году?
Да
31% вероятность
$81,851 Объем
$81,851 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
31% вероятность
$81,851 Объем
$81,851 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe and private equity firm Advent International submitted a joint $60.50-per-share bid for PayPal in July 2026, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion and representing a 28% premium to recent trading levels, yet PayPal’s board has held out for a higher price amid ongoing talks. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation from its February tender offer underscores its capacity, but the absence of a signed agreement, combined with anticipated antitrust review and the need for shareholder approval, leaves substantial execution risk before year-end. PayPal’s depressed share price—far below its 2021 peak—reflects structural challenges in digital payments, yet these same dynamics have not translated into a swift deal close. Trader consensus on a “No” outcome at 69.2% thus embeds the probability that negotiations extend past 2026 or collapse over valuation gaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$81,851Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe and private equity firm Advent International submitted a joint $60.50-per-share bid for PayPal in July 2026, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion and representing a 28% premium to recent trading levels, yet PayPal’s board has held out for a higher price amid ongoing talks. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation from its February tender offer underscores its capacity, but the absence of a signed agreement, combined with anticipated antitrust review and the need for shareholder approval, leaves substantial execution risk before year-end. PayPal’s depressed share price—far below its 2021 peak—reflects structural challenges in digital payments, yet these same dynamics have not translated into a swift deal close. Trader consensus on a “No” outcome at 69.2% thus embeds the probability that negotiations extend past 2026 or collapse over valuation gaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$81,851Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stripe and private equity firm Advent International submitted a joint $60.50-per-share bid for PayPal in July 2026, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion and representing a 28% premium to recent trading levels, yet PayPal’s board has held out for a higher price amid ongoing talks. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation from its February tender offer underscores its capacity, but the absence of a signed agreement, combined with anticipated antitrust review and the need for shareholder approval, leaves substantial execution risk before year-end. PayPal’s depressed share price—far below its 2021 peak—reflects structural challenges in digital payments, yet these same dynamics have not translated into a swift deal close. Trader consensus on a “No” outcome at 69.2% thus embeds the probability that negotiations extend past 2026 or collapse over valuation gaps.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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