Chelsea's slight edge as trader consensus favorite at 55.5% implied probability stems from Leeds United's fresh injury crisis following their FA Cup quarter-final penalty shootout win over West Ham, ruling out key midfielder Anton Stach and defender Joe Rodon until May with ankle ligament issues, alongside Dan James sidelined by a muscle strain. Chelsea, despite their own absences—Reece James, Levi Colwill, Trevoh Chalobah, Jamie Gittens, and Filip Jorgensen all doubtful or out amid a poor run of form under Liam Rosenior including recent collapses against Manchester City—boast greater squad depth and a stronger Premier League standing around mid-table, contrasting Leeds' relegation scrap. The 24.5% draw pricing reflects their February league stalemate and Wembley neutral venue dynamics, while Leeds' 20.5% underscores upset potential from cup momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chelsea's slight edge as trader consensus favorite at 55.5% implied probability stems from Leeds United's fresh injury crisis following their FA Cup quarter-final penalty shootout win over West Ham, ruling out key midfielder Anton Stach and defender Joe Rodon until May with ankle ligament issues, alongside Dan James sidelined by a muscle strain. Chelsea, despite their own absences—Reece James, Levi Colwill, Trevoh Chalobah, Jamie Gittens, and Filip Jorgensen all doubtful or out amid a poor run of form under Liam Rosenior including recent collapses against Manchester City—boast greater squad depth and a stronger Premier League standing around mid-table, contrasting Leeds' relegation scrap. The 24.5% draw pricing reflects their February league stalemate and Wembley neutral venue dynamics, while Leeds' 20.5% underscores upset potential from cup momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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