The 73.5% implied probability for "No" on repealing the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted via the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and effective for tax year 2026—stems from stalled legislative efforts amid Republican House control. Rep. Dina Titus (D-NV) introduced the bipartisan FAIR BET Act (H.R. 4304) and sought amendments to defense and appropriations bills, but House GOP leaders blocked these in January and February 2026 via the Rules Committee, prioritizing other fiscal measures. With no committee advancement or floor votes since, and 2026 midterms looming before year-end resolution, traders see slim odds of passage through reconciliation or omnibus packages despite industry lobbying.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$64,513 ปริมาณ
$64,513 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$64,513 ปริมาณ
$64,513 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 73.5% implied probability for "No" on repealing the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted via the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and effective for tax year 2026—stems from stalled legislative efforts amid Republican House control. Rep. Dina Titus (D-NV) introduced the bipartisan FAIR BET Act (H.R. 4304) and sought amendments to defense and appropriations bills, but House GOP leaders blocked these in January and February 2026 via the Rules Committee, prioritizing other fiscal measures. With no committee advancement or floor votes since, and 2026 midterms looming before year-end resolution, traders see slim odds of passage through reconciliation or omnibus packages despite industry lobbying.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,513วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 73.5% implied probability for "No" on repealing the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted via the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and effective for tax year 2026—stems from stalled legislative efforts amid Republican House control. Rep. Dina Titus (D-NV) introduced the bipartisan FAIR BET Act (H.R. 4304) and sought amendments to defense and appropriations bills, but House GOP leaders blocked these in January and February 2026 via the Rules Committee, prioritizing other fiscal measures. With no committee advancement or floor votes since, and 2026 midterms looming before year-end resolution, traders see slim odds of passage through reconciliation or omnibus packages despite industry lobbying.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,513วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 73.5% implied probability for "No" on repealing the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted via the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and effective for tax year 2026—stems from stalled legislative efforts amid Republican House control. Rep. Dina Titus (D-NV) introduced the bipartisan FAIR BET Act (H.R. 4304) and sought amendments to defense and appropriations bills, but House GOP leaders blocked these in January and February 2026 via the Rules Committee, prioritizing other fiscal measures. With no committee advancement or floor votes since, and 2026 midterms looming before year-end resolution, traders see slim odds of passage through reconciliation or omnibus packages despite industry lobbying.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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