The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว20% โอกาส
$71,482 ปริมาณ
$71,482 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
20% โอกาส
$71,482 ปริมาณ
$71,482 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,482วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,482วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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