**The high probability assigned to "No" reflects the legislative outcome of the 2025 reconciliation process.** President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) on July 4, 2025, which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions, restored full expensing for R&D and equipment, and added targeted manufacturing incentives without altering the statutory corporate rate from 21 percent. Proposals during the campaign and negotiations for a 15 percent rate on domestic production or a broader reduction were not enacted amid concerns over deficit impact and competing priorities such as tariffs and spending adjustments. With the major tax package already completed and no subsequent rate-cut legislation advanced in 2026, traders see limited time and political bandwidth for another corporate rate change before the 2027 deadline. The current odds embed this recent enactment record and the absence of new momentum for headline-rate legislation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว11% โอกาส
$16,079 ปริมาณ
$16,079 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
11% โอกาส
$16,079 ปริมาณ
$16,079 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**The high probability assigned to "No" reflects the legislative outcome of the 2025 reconciliation process.** President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) on July 4, 2025, which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions, restored full expensing for R&D and equipment, and added targeted manufacturing incentives without altering the statutory corporate rate from 21 percent. Proposals during the campaign and negotiations for a 15 percent rate on domestic production or a broader reduction were not enacted amid concerns over deficit impact and competing priorities such as tariffs and spending adjustments.
With the major tax package already completed and no subsequent rate-cut legislation advanced in 2026, traders see limited time and political bandwidth for another corporate rate change before the 2027 deadline. The current odds embed this recent enactment record and the absence of new momentum for headline-rate legislation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,079วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**The high probability assigned to "No" reflects the legislative outcome of the 2025 reconciliation process.** President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) on July 4, 2025, which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions, restored full expensing for R&D and equipment, and added targeted manufacturing incentives without altering the statutory corporate rate from 21 percent. Proposals during the campaign and negotiations for a 15 percent rate on domestic production or a broader reduction were not enacted amid concerns over deficit impact and competing priorities such as tariffs and spending adjustments.
With the major tax package already completed and no subsequent rate-cut legislation advanced in 2026, traders see limited time and political bandwidth for another corporate rate change before the 2027 deadline. The current odds embed this recent enactment record and the absence of new momentum for headline-rate legislation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,079วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The high probability assigned to "No" reflects the legislative outcome of the 2025 reconciliation process.** President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) on July 4, 2025, which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions, restored full expensing for R&D and equipment, and added targeted manufacturing incentives without altering the statutory corporate rate from 21 percent. Proposals during the campaign and negotiations for a 15 percent rate on domestic production or a broader reduction were not enacted amid concerns over deficit impact and competing priorities such as tariffs and spending adjustments. With the major tax package already completed and no subsequent rate-cut legislation advanced in 2026, traders see limited time and political bandwidth for another corporate rate change before the 2027 deadline. The current odds embed this recent enactment record and the absence of new momentum for headline-rate legislation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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