Flu activity during late July (MMWR Week 30) typically falls to minimal levels as the Northern Hemisphere summer reduces transmission. CDC FluSurv-NET data show the weekly hospitalization rate reached exactly 0.1 per 100,000 in Week 21 (late May) and remained at or below that threshold through subsequent summer weeks amid low laboratory positivity and hospital admissions. Ensemble forecasts project continued stable or uncertain but very low national admissions (hundreds per week), consistent with historical off-season baselines. Trader-implied probabilities clustered near 45–47% across >0.1, <0.1, and exactly 0.1 outcomes reflect uncertainty from reporting lags, potential data revisions, and the precise measurement threshold rather than any surge in circulation. New FluView updates and model runs will clarify positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 30, 2026?
0.1 47%
>0.1 47%
<0.1 46%
<0.1
46%
0.1
47%
>0.1
47%
0.1 47%
>0.1 47%
<0.1 46%
<0.1
46%
0.1
47%
>0.1
47%
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flu activity during late July (MMWR Week 30) typically falls to minimal levels as the Northern Hemisphere summer reduces transmission. CDC FluSurv-NET data show the weekly hospitalization rate reached exactly 0.1 per 100,000 in Week 21 (late May) and remained at or below that threshold through subsequent summer weeks amid low laboratory positivity and hospital admissions. Ensemble forecasts project continued stable or uncertain but very low national admissions (hundreds per week), consistent with historical off-season baselines. Trader-implied probabilities clustered near 45–47% across >0.1, <0.1, and exactly 0.1 outcomes reflect uncertainty from reporting lags, potential data revisions, and the precise measurement threshold rather than any surge in circulation. New FluView updates and model runs will clarify positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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