Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 23°C or higher on April 21 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 23°C amid a warming high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler conditions around 19°C. Current observational data shows midday readings climbing past 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with model ensembles from global forecast systems indicating peak heating in the afternoon. Historical April climatology averages 22°C maxima, but today's synoptic setup favors the upper range. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover or isolated showers capping the high at 22°C, though SMN updates and hourly airport readings through evening carry low risk of such deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 21?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,043 ปริมาณ
$85,043 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,043 ปริมาณ
$85,043 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 23°C or higher on April 21 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 23°C amid a warming high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler conditions around 19°C. Current observational data shows midday readings climbing past 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with model ensembles from global forecast systems indicating peak heating in the afternoon. Historical April climatology averages 22°C maxima, but today's synoptic setup favors the upper range. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover or isolated showers capping the high at 22°C, though SMN updates and hourly airport readings through evening carry low risk of such deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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