Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 14?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 ปริมาณ
$39,582 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 ปริมาณ
$39,582 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
5°C or below
$170 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$489 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$1,557 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$3,248 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$3,647 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$5,904 ปริมาณ
Yes
11°C
$5,187 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$4,936 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$6,150 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$5,356 ปริมาณ
No
15°C or higher
$2,937 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,582วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,582วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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