Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C at 100% implied probability for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 21, 2026, driven by official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from Cape Town International Airport—the market's designated station—which recorded a maximum of 17°C amid partly cloudy skies and a passing cold front that limited solar heating and promoted cooler air advection. This aligns with seasonal autumn patterns in the Western Cape, where average April highs hover around 22–23°C but frontal systems often suppress peaks to 15–18°C, as seen in recent model guidance from SAWS extended forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from SAWS audits or evidence of station malfunction, though preliminary reports match independent records like 62°F (17°C) from nearby stations; final resolution awaits SAWS confirmation, typically within 24–48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 21?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 21?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$232,736 ปริมาณ
$232,736 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$232,736 ปริมาณ
$232,736 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
12°C or below
$5,233 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$4,658 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$50,190 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$5,973 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$12,976 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$51,770 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C
$14,812 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$6,203 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$74,997 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,353 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$2,569 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C at 100% implied probability for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 21, 2026, driven by official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from Cape Town International Airport—the market's designated station—which recorded a maximum of 17°C amid partly cloudy skies and a passing cold front that limited solar heating and promoted cooler air advection. This aligns with seasonal autumn patterns in the Western Cape, where average April highs hover around 22–23°C but frontal systems often suppress peaks to 15–18°C, as seen in recent model guidance from SAWS extended forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from SAWS audits or evidence of station malfunction, though preliminary reports match independent records like 62°F (17°C) from nearby stations; final resolution awaits SAWS confirmation, typically within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 19, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$232,736วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C at 100% implied probability for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 21, 2026, driven by official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from Cape Town International Airport—the market's designated station—which recorded a maximum of 17°C amid partly cloudy skies and a passing cold front that limited solar heating and promoted cooler air advection. This aligns with seasonal autumn patterns in the Western Cape, where average April highs hover around 22–23°C but frontal systems often suppress peaks to 15–18°C, as seen in recent model guidance from SAWS extended forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from SAWS audits or evidence of station malfunction, though preliminary reports match independent records like 62°F (17°C) from nearby stations; final resolution awaits SAWS confirmation, typically within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$232,736วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C at 100% implied probability for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 21, 2026, driven by official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from Cape Town International Airport—the market's designated station—which recorded a maximum of 17°C amid partly cloudy skies and a passing cold front that limited solar heating and promoted cooler air advection. This aligns with seasonal autumn patterns in the Western Cape, where average April highs hover around 22–23°C but frontal systems often suppress peaks to 15–18°C, as seen in recent model guidance from SAWS extended forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from SAWS audits or evidence of station malfunction, though preliminary reports match independent records like 62°F (17°C) from nearby stations; final resolution awaits SAWS confirmation, typically within 24–48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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