Recent short-term forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate mild anticyclonic conditions over the Western Cape, supporting daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17–18 °C but with modest warm-side bias from clearer skies and light northerly flow. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21 °C. Key differentiators include the precise timing of any weak Atlantic trough, which could cap highs at 18 °C or below via increased cloud cover and onshore breeze, versus sustained high pressure that permits 20–21 °C under stronger insolation. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or boundary-layer mixing will decide resolution among these leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 11?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 11?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$38,667 ปริมาณ
$38,667 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$38,667 ปริมาณ
$38,667 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
13°C or below
$1,485 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$585 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,156 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,566 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$5,318 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$6,128 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$6,044 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$7,817 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$5,044 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,619 ปริมาณ
No
23°C or higher
$906 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate mild anticyclonic conditions over the Western Cape, supporting daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17–18 °C but with modest warm-side bias from clearer skies and light northerly flow. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21 °C. Key differentiators include the precise timing of any weak Atlantic trough, which could cap highs at 18 °C or below via increased cloud cover and onshore breeze, versus sustained high pressure that permits 20–21 °C under stronger insolation. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or boundary-layer mixing will decide resolution among these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,667วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate mild anticyclonic conditions over the Western Cape, supporting daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17–18 °C but with modest warm-side bias from clearer skies and light northerly flow. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21 °C. Key differentiators include the precise timing of any weak Atlantic trough, which could cap highs at 18 °C or below via increased cloud cover and onshore breeze, versus sustained high pressure that permits 20–21 °C under stronger insolation. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or boundary-layer mixing will decide resolution among these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,667วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent short-term forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate mild anticyclonic conditions over the Western Cape, supporting daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17–18 °C but with modest warm-side bias from clearer skies and light northerly flow. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21 °C. Key differentiators include the precise timing of any weak Atlantic trough, which could cap highs at 18 °C or below via increased cloud cover and onshore breeze, versus sustained high pressure that permits 20–21 °C under stronger insolation. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or boundary-layer mixing will decide resolution among these leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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