Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport near 29–30°C today under partly cloudy skies with building overcast in the afternoon. Morning clear conditions have spurred rapid diurnal heating from overnight lows around 15°C, reaching mid-20s°C by midday with low humidity (36–40%) and light winds aiding insolation, giving a slight edge to 30°C (42%) over 29°C (36.5%). Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects potentially pushing peaks higher versus cloud development capping them, with historical April averages near 22°C underscoring the warm anomaly; monitor hourly observations and CMA updates through evening for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
30°C 38%
29°C 36%
31°C 11.7%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
$39,393 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$39,393 ปริมาณ
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
36%
30°C
38%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 38%
29°C 36%
31°C 11.7%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
$39,393 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$39,393 ปริมาณ
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
$3,215 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$2,229 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$2,340 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$6,137 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$3,222 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$4,050 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$2,938 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$1,815 ปริมาณ
36%
30°C
$1,859 ปริมาณ
38%
31°C
$6,432 ปริมาณ
12%
32°C or higher
$5,258 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport near 29–30°C today under partly cloudy skies with building overcast in the afternoon. Morning clear conditions have spurred rapid diurnal heating from overnight lows around 15°C, reaching mid-20s°C by midday with low humidity (36–40%) and light winds aiding insolation, giving a slight edge to 30°C (42%) over 29°C (36.5%). Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects potentially pushing peaks higher versus cloud development capping them, with historical April averages near 22°C underscoring the warm anomaly; monitor hourly observations and CMA updates through evening for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,393วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport near 29–30°C today under partly cloudy skies with building overcast in the afternoon. Morning clear conditions have spurred rapid diurnal heating from overnight lows around 15°C, reaching mid-20s°C by midday with low humidity (36–40%) and light winds aiding insolation, giving a slight edge to 30°C (42%) over 29°C (36.5%). Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects potentially pushing peaks higher versus cloud development capping them, with historical April averages near 22°C underscoring the warm anomaly; monitor hourly observations and CMA updates through evening for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,393วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport near 29–30°C today under partly cloudy skies with building overcast in the afternoon. Morning clear conditions have spurred rapid diurnal heating from overnight lows around 15°C, reaching mid-20s°C by midday with low humidity (36–40%) and light winds aiding insolation, giving a slight edge to 30°C (42%) over 29°C (36.5%). Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects potentially pushing peaks higher versus cloud development capping them, with historical April averages near 22°C underscoring the warm anomaly; monitor hourly observations and CMA updates through evening for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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