Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on July 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 22?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$19,489 ปริมาณ
$19,489 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$19,489 ปริมาณ
$19,489 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
10°C or below
$478 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$486 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,298 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,183 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$5,725 ปริมาณ
Yes
15°C
$3,990 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$3,109 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$910 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$537 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$278 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$496 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,489วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,489วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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