Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 20, driven by hourly observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid mostly overcast skies. Recent METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration guidance align with this, showing temperatures hovering around 23°C with low visibility and light rain in the evening, suppressing further solar heating consistent with cloudy spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April highs average 22°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing for a brief spike to 25°C+ or a data revision from preliminary readings, with final daily records expected tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 20?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$88,355 ปริมาณ
$88,355 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$88,355 ปริมาณ
$88,355 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
17°C or below
$1,637 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,414 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,354 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,803 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$6,433 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$10,211 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$6,764 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$12,974 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$11,588 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$10,485 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$17,692 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 20, driven by hourly observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid mostly overcast skies. Recent METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration guidance align with this, showing temperatures hovering around 23°C with low visibility and light rain in the evening, suppressing further solar heating consistent with cloudy spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April highs average 22°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing for a brief spike to 25°C+ or a data revision from preliminary readings, with final daily records expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,355วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 20, driven by hourly observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid mostly overcast skies. Recent METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration guidance align with this, showing temperatures hovering around 23°C with low visibility and light rain in the evening, suppressing further solar heating consistent with cloudy spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April highs average 22°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing for a brief spike to 25°C+ or a data revision from preliminary readings, with final daily records expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,355วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 20, driven by hourly observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid mostly overcast skies. Recent METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration guidance align with this, showing temperatures hovering around 23°C with low visibility and light rain in the evening, suppressing further solar heating consistent with cloudy spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Historical April highs average 22°C, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing for a brief spike to 25°C+ or a data revision from preliminary readings, with final daily records expected tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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