Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 21?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$40,309 ปริมาณ
$40,309 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$40,309 ปริมาณ
$40,309 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
24°C or below
$353 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$650 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$983 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$748 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,556 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$5,162 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$6,377 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$2,998 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$7,898 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$5,885 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C or higher
$7,700 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,309วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,309วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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