Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely in the low 30s°C, shaped by typical subtropical summer conditions including the influence of the Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated sea surface temperatures, and variable monsoon moisture. Cloud cover, convective showers, and the urban heat island effect introduce key uncertainties that differentiate 31°C from 32°C outcomes, with limited model spread preventing stronger consensus on either side. Trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities reflects aggregated assessment of forecast revisions expected before resolution, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but often moderate under rain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 22?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$177,137 ปริมาณ
$177,137 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$177,137 ปริมาณ
$177,137 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
26°C or below
$247 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$397 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$6,907 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$11,527 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$18,498 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$18,375 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$31,071 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$43,877 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$30,651 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$13,435 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$2,149 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely in the low 30s°C, shaped by typical subtropical summer conditions including the influence of the Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated sea surface temperatures, and variable monsoon moisture. Cloud cover, convective showers, and the urban heat island effect introduce key uncertainties that differentiate 31°C from 32°C outcomes, with limited model spread preventing stronger consensus on either side. Trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities reflects aggregated assessment of forecast revisions expected before resolution, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but often moderate under rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177,137วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely in the low 30s°C, shaped by typical subtropical summer conditions including the influence of the Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated sea surface temperatures, and variable monsoon moisture. Cloud cover, convective showers, and the urban heat island effect introduce key uncertainties that differentiate 31°C from 32°C outcomes, with limited model spread preventing stronger consensus on either side. Trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities reflects aggregated assessment of forecast revisions expected before resolution, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but often moderate under rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177,137วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely in the low 30s°C, shaped by typical subtropical summer conditions including the influence of the Pacific high-pressure ridge, elevated sea surface temperatures, and variable monsoon moisture. Cloud cover, convective showers, and the urban heat island effect introduce key uncertainties that differentiate 31°C from 32°C outcomes, with limited model spread preventing stronger consensus on either side. Trader positioning around these closely matched probabilities reflects aggregated assessment of forecast revisions expected before resolution, consistent with July climatology where daily highs average near 32°C but often moderate under rain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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