Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,935 ปริมาณ
$85,935 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,935 ปริมาณ
$85,935 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
$1,631 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,176 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$3,076 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,886 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$4,221 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$8,398 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$7,745 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$22,723 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$12,777 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$11,974 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$7,328 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,935วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,935วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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