Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 17?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$214,726 ปริมาณ
$214,726 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$214,726 ปริมาณ
$214,726 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
31°C or below
$39,492 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$27,708 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$40,124 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$34,826 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$10,964 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$12,565 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$15,894 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$18,963 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$11,476 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$1,879 ปริมาณ
No
41°C or higher
$832 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$214,726วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$214,726วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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