Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on April 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate real-time observational data via Weather Underground records showing a peak of 86°F. A strengthening subtropical ridge post-thunderstorms cleared skies for peak solar insolation midday, with urban heat island effects adding about 1°C amid high humidity limiting further rises, aligning with GFS, ECMWF, and CMA model consensus spanning 29–31°C. Historical late-April averages near 28°C provide context, while resolution hinges on whole-degree airport readings; rare post-report revisions from equipment calibration could challenge, though unlikely given consistent hourly logs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 27?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 27?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$50,718 ปริมาณ
$50,718 ปริมาณ
Apr 27, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$50,718 ปริมาณ
$50,718 ปริมาณ
Apr 27, 2026
24°C or below
$3,636 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$817 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,745 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,059 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,414 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$6,019 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$8,082 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$7,779 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$4,541 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$4,748 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$3,878 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on April 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate real-time observational data via Weather Underground records showing a peak of 86°F. A strengthening subtropical ridge post-thunderstorms cleared skies for peak solar insolation midday, with urban heat island effects adding about 1°C amid high humidity limiting further rises, aligning with GFS, ECMWF, and CMA model consensus spanning 29–31°C. Historical late-April averages near 28°C provide context, while resolution hinges on whole-degree airport readings; rare post-report revisions from equipment calibration could challenge, though unlikely given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,718วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on April 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate real-time observational data via Weather Underground records showing a peak of 86°F. A strengthening subtropical ridge post-thunderstorms cleared skies for peak solar insolation midday, with urban heat island effects adding about 1°C amid high humidity limiting further rises, aligning with GFS, ECMWF, and CMA model consensus spanning 29–31°C. Historical late-April averages near 28°C provide context, while resolution hinges on whole-degree airport readings; rare post-report revisions from equipment calibration could challenge, though unlikely given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,718วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on April 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate real-time observational data via Weather Underground records showing a peak of 86°F. A strengthening subtropical ridge post-thunderstorms cleared skies for peak solar insolation midday, with urban heat island effects adding about 1°C amid high humidity limiting further rises, aligning with GFS, ECMWF, and CMA model consensus spanning 29–31°C. Historical late-April averages near 28°C provide context, while resolution hinges on whole-degree airport readings; rare post-report revisions from equipment calibration could challenge, though unlikely given consistent hourly logs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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