Mid-June subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou typically drive daily maximum temperatures to 31–33°C, as reflected in long-term climatological averages and 2026 seasonal forecasts showing highs routinely reaching or exceeding 32°C amid warm, humid southerly airflow. The market’s 100% implied probability for this threshold aligns with the low historical variance in early summer peak readings and current observational trends indicating stable atmospheric patterns. While an unexpected cold front or prolonged heavy cloud cover could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C, such developments remain statistically uncommon this time of year and are not supported by prevailing model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$34,994 ปริมาณ
$34,994 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$34,994 ปริมาณ
$34,994 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$766 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$150 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$698 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$710 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,086 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,954 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,993 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$3,483 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$5,349 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$6,179 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$7,625 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-June subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou typically drive daily maximum temperatures to 31–33°C, as reflected in long-term climatological averages and 2026 seasonal forecasts showing highs routinely reaching or exceeding 32°C amid warm, humid southerly airflow. The market’s 100% implied probability for this threshold aligns with the low historical variance in early summer peak readings and current observational trends indicating stable atmospheric patterns. While an unexpected cold front or prolonged heavy cloud cover could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C, such developments remain statistically uncommon this time of year and are not supported by prevailing model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,994วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-June subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou typically drive daily maximum temperatures to 31–33°C, as reflected in long-term climatological averages and 2026 seasonal forecasts showing highs routinely reaching or exceeding 32°C amid warm, humid southerly airflow. The market’s 100% implied probability for this threshold aligns with the low historical variance in early summer peak readings and current observational trends indicating stable atmospheric patterns. While an unexpected cold front or prolonged heavy cloud cover could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C, such developments remain statistically uncommon this time of year and are not supported by prevailing model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,994วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Mid-June subtropical monsoon conditions in Guangzhou typically drive daily maximum temperatures to 31–33°C, as reflected in long-term climatological averages and 2026 seasonal forecasts showing highs routinely reaching or exceeding 32°C amid warm, humid southerly airflow. The market’s 100% implied probability for this threshold aligns with the low historical variance in early summer peak readings and current observational trends indicating stable atmospheric patterns. While an unexpected cold front or prolonged heavy cloud cover could theoretically suppress readings below 32°C, such developments remain statistically uncommon this time of year and are not supported by prevailing model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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