Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 3, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Baiyun station and supporting data from global models like ECMWF. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity—hallmarks of early May's transitional monsoon onset—suppressed daytime solar heating, with hourly readings peaking near 27°C amid overcast skies, aligning below the historical May average high of 29°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time meteorological data, though minimal scenarios like a late-afternoon clearing and rapid insolation could challenge it if unvalidated station logs show a 0.5°C rounding discrepancy before final CMA validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 3?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 3?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$50,523 ปริมาณ
$50,523 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$50,523 ปริมาณ
$50,523 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
23°C or below
$2,172 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$2,162 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,156 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$10,458 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,566 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$5,228 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$4,317 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$4,359 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$3,622 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$4,910 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$5,573 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 3, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Baiyun station and supporting data from global models like ECMWF. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity—hallmarks of early May's transitional monsoon onset—suppressed daytime solar heating, with hourly readings peaking near 27°C amid overcast skies, aligning below the historical May average high of 29°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time meteorological data, though minimal scenarios like a late-afternoon clearing and rapid insolation could challenge it if unvalidated station logs show a 0.5°C rounding discrepancy before final CMA validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,523วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 3, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Baiyun station and supporting data from global models like ECMWF. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity—hallmarks of early May's transitional monsoon onset—suppressed daytime solar heating, with hourly readings peaking near 27°C amid overcast skies, aligning below the historical May average high of 29°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time meteorological data, though minimal scenarios like a late-afternoon clearing and rapid insolation could challenge it if unvalidated station logs show a 0.5°C rounding discrepancy before final CMA validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,523วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 3, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Baiyun station and supporting data from global models like ECMWF. Persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity—hallmarks of early May's transitional monsoon onset—suppressed daytime solar heating, with hourly readings peaking near 27°C amid overcast skies, aligning below the historical May average high of 29°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time meteorological data, though minimal scenarios like a late-afternoon clearing and rapid insolation could challenge it if unvalidated station logs show a 0.5°C rounding discrepancy before final CMA validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย