Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 13?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$198,838 ปริมาณ
$198,838 ปริมาณ
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$198,838 ปริมาณ
$198,838 ปริมาณ
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
$1,032 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,918 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$5,059 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$5,724 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$45,848 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$32,189 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$46,962 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$40,507 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$11,986 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$5,572 ปริมาณ
No
37°C or higher
$2,041 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$198,838วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$198,838วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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