Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 2?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$323,712 ปริมาณ
$323,712 ปริมาณ
Jul 2, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$323,712 ปริมาณ
$323,712 ปริมาณ
Jul 2, 2026
27°C or below
$7,760 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$4,468 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$11,442 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$29,566 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$54,412 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$63,586 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$77,280 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$43,071 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$15,916 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$9,262 ปริมาณ
No
37°C or higher
$6,949 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$323,712วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$323,712วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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