Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–32°C for July 3–4 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-July monsoon influences and moderate moisture convergence that limit solar heating, while subtle differences in model runs for cloud cover and timing of any rain distinguish the narrow spread among 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C probabilities. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal July temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, provides background support but yields to short-term synoptic variability near resolution. Updated HKO guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$274,192 ปริมาณ
$274,192 ปริมาณ
Jul 4, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$274,192 ปริมาณ
$274,192 ปริมาณ
Jul 4, 2026
23°C or below
$4,981 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$14,041 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$6,862 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$11,239 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$14,132 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$33,438 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$18,681 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$35,847 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$35,194 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$67,670 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C or higher
$32,108 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–32°C for July 3–4 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-July monsoon influences and moderate moisture convergence that limit solar heating, while subtle differences in model runs for cloud cover and timing of any rain distinguish the narrow spread among 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C probabilities. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal July temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, provides background support but yields to short-term synoptic variability near resolution. Updated HKO guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$274,192วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–32°C for July 3–4 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-July monsoon influences and moderate moisture convergence that limit solar heating, while subtle differences in model runs for cloud cover and timing of any rain distinguish the narrow spread among 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C probabilities. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal July temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, provides background support but yields to short-term synoptic variability near resolution. Updated HKO guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$274,192วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–32°C for July 3–4 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-July monsoon influences and moderate moisture convergence that limit solar heating, while subtle differences in model runs for cloud cover and timing of any rain distinguish the narrow spread among 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C probabilities. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal July temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, provides background support but yields to short-term synoptic variability near resolution. Updated HKO guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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